In this article you can find the best politics betting sites for markets in the Brasil, US or the rest of the world plus our political betting strategy for some of the most popular upcoming events.
Table of Contents
- Best Betting Sites We Recommend for the Politics
- Brasil Politics Betting Markets
- US Politics Betting Markets
- Rest of the World Politics Betting Markets
- Why Politics Betting is So Exciting
- Type Of Politics Bets
- Top 6 Politics Betting Tips
- How to Bet on Politics and Elections
- Biggest and Best Political Bets Ever Made
- Politics Betting FAQs
- ThePuntersPage Final Say
T&Cs APPLY, 18+ ONLY
1. Once the bonus is credited to your account, losses will be refunded up to the bonus amount. 2. You must deposit at least the qualifying deposit of £20 (or currency equivalent) in a single amount with your first deposit to be eligible for the rebate. 3. To withdraw rebated funds, you must bet at least the qualifying deposit on any combination of markets within the promotional period; otherwise, rebated funds will be forfeited. 4. Unused bonuses expire after seven days of being credited to a user account and will be removed after this period. 5. Users making their first deposit by Skrill, NETELLER, PayPal or a virtual/prepaid card will not qualify for this promotion. 6. The sign-up offer is strictly limited to one per individual, family, household address, email address, same payment account number, and shared computer. 7. This promotion cannot be used in conjunction with any other sign-up promotion. 8. Smarkets standard terms for promotions apply. #ad
T&Cs APPLY, 18+ ONLY
New customers only. Place your FIRST bet on any sportsbook market and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is R$20. Only deposits made using cards or Apple Pay will qualify for this promotion. T&Cs apply. Paddy's Rewards Club: Get a R$10 free bet when you place 5x bets of R$10+. T&Cs apply. #ad
T&Cs APPLY, 18+ ONLY
T&Cs: New customers using Promo code H30 only, Min R$10/€10 stake, min odds 1/2, free bets paid as 2 x R$15/€15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is placed, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. #ad
T&Cs APPLY, 18+ ONLY
Up to R$100 in Bet Credits for new customers at bet365. Min deposit 40 R$. Bet Credits available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. #ad
T&Cs APPLY, 18+ ONLY
New customer offer. Place 5 x R$10or more bets to receive R$20in free bets. Repeat up to 5 times to receive maximum R$100bonus. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). Exchange bets excluded. Payment restrictions apply. T&Cs apply. #ad
T&Cs APPLY, 18+ ONLY
Minimum deposit of R$10 using deposit code 30F - A qualifying bet is a ‘real money’ stake of at least R$10 placed on any sports market - Minimum odds of 1/2 (1.5) - Free bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days - Free bet stakes not included in returns - Casino Bonus must be claimed within 7 days • To withdraw bonus/related wins, wager bonus amount x40 within 14 days • Wagering req. vary by game • Deposit methods, Withdrawal restrictions and Full T&C’s apply. #ad
Brasil Politics Betting Markets
While the Brasil political betting landscape is a bit quieter since Brexit has been finalized, there are still plenty of markets and elections for Brasil punters. While you can bet on current events, you can also bet on future events, such as the year Boris Johnson will be replaced, the next conservative leader and the next labour leader. Of course, you will have to wait early for these bets to settle. Here are the major Brasil markets for British politics betting right now which you can find in the betting sites listed in our table above.
- Year Boris John is replaced as Prime Minister
- Next Conservative Leader
- Next Labour Leader
- Next Scottish First Minister
- Next Scottish Independence Referendum Result
- When will the next Scottish Independence Referendum take place?
- Referendum on Monarchy by 2024
US Politics Betting Markets
The current US politics betting climate is also relatively quiet right now following Joe Biden's victory over Donald Trump in the most recent presidential election. That said, our recommended bookies are already looking ahead and you can find some of the most popular USA politics betting markets below:
- 2024 Presidential Winner
- 2024 Democratic Presidential Nominee
- 2024 Republic Presidential Nominee
- Biden's First International Visit
- Biden to Serve Full Term?
- Washington D.C/Puerto Rico to become 51st state before 2022
Rest of the World Politics Betting Markets
While the Brasil and the US are undoubtedly the most popular political betting markets, world politics often offer plenty of options and value. Check out some of our top picks for ROW politics betting markets below!
- Next German Chancellor
- Next G20 Leader to Leave
- Fine Gael Leader
- Year of Next Canadian Federal Election
Why Politics Betting is So Exciting
Value. Value is the most important aspect of any betting strategy. In a world where betting money can move odds just as much as bookie analysis, political betting is one of the few fields where punters can find consistent value. If you start your bets early, you can find ridiculous underdogs, who evolve into favourites and even winners.
Type Of Politics Bets
In order to understand the different types of bets that exist in politics, we should first look at the different ways to place a bet: spread bets and online sportsbooks.
Spread betting sites let you bet on what a result will be, the more correct you are, the more you will win. However, the more you are incorrect, the more money you can lose. A good example of this is Spreadex, where you can bet on points spreads on sporting events as well as election results.
Meanwhile, online sportsbooks provide the most convenient option for players. Through online bookmakers, players can wager on almost anything – the options found nowadays are practically unending. A lot of the bet categories available in sports are available in politics too. The most common bets include a straight up bet, handicap bet, and proposition bets.
Straight up bets
A straight up bet, is usually betting on one of two or more possible outcomes. These include outrights. For example: betting on a specific candidate to win an election.
A handicap bet consists of wagering according to the margin you think a candidate will win by. For example: Trump to win popular vote with 2% extra.
Prop bets rely on the occurrence or non-occurrence of an event, these are usually smaller, less important events. For example: Trump to lose popular vote but be re-elected.
Top 6 Politics Betting Tips
When betting on politics, you will need to have a sharp mind to ensure you are not caught up in the propaganda released by either side. Here are our top 6 political betting tips:
1. Bet early
While you could wait until the day before the election to place your bet, this bet will ultimately have less value compared to a bet placed a year earlier. Usually margins tighten the closer an election draws, while the number of possible candidates is thinned down to a possible two or three. The more candidates in the race the higher the odds for your selection. This goes for US elections, primaries as well as most Brasil political events.
2. Don’t bet on your favoured candidate for the sake of it
This may seem like an obvious point to some, but a few punters fail to realise that political betting requires the same in-depth analysis and research that any other betting market would. Politics betting is not about wagering on your preferred politicians, but finding a bet where the odds are higher than the probability. Analyse statistics, polls and reliable news sources before placing your politics bet. Moreover, make sure you wager on elections you understand well.
3. Research independently
News sources are not always trustworthy. In order to back the data you find, carry out your own research by reading forums and remaining up to date with public opinion. Speaking to acquaintances and observing comment threads can give you a great indication of what is on people’s minds. Remember how Brexit happened, even though most news outlets were predicting it would not?
4. Don’t believe everything you read
This point reinforces our last… always ensure your information sources are reliable through careful research. Most news sources are misleading due to strongly favouring one candidate over another. The one-sided information made available can sometimes outright false and inaccurately represent public opinion, which is why every estimation you come across online should be taken with a grain of salt. Steer clear of biased news sites and political pages when seeking information for your politics betting strategy. The media’s propaganda may indeed cost you a lot of money if you are not careful! At the very least, look at news sources from either side of the political spectrum.
5. Beware of polls
Polls are supposed to be accurate samples of public opinion. In reality, they are often political tools, designed to affect the public’s voting behaviour. As we mentioned while discussing the 2016 US election, polls are often skewed in favour of a specific candidate. Polling bureaus and news agencies do this in various ways, including selecting only favourable participants, or misrepresenting the results in a way favourable to their candidate.
6. Never underestimate the underdogs
Punters often like to favour major candidates, as they believe it is a less risky choice than placing an election bet on a candidate with less of a reputation. Yet, placing bets on a minor candidate achieving a small feat and gaining seats in parliament may prove to be wiser than simply placing bets on the major candidate to win. Trust your instincts; the popular opinion is not always right!
How to Bet on Politics and Elections
Betting on politics and elections is ultimately very simple. If you know how to place a sports bet, you can also bet on any political bet the bookie offers. Simply head create an account at a sportsbook, and head to the sports section. Choose political bets or political specials and add the events to your betting slip. Of course, you will need a bit more patience compared to football betting, since you can usually bet on political events months in advance.
Biggest and Best Political Bets Ever Made
Betting on politics has the potential to earn you a substantial figure while still being enjoyable – and some lucky bettors have truly been able to experience that. There certainly have been some impressive political bets over recent years… Here are our three of our favourites:
One of our all-time favourite political betting stories is that of Sedgefield taxi driver George Elliott, who bet on Tony Blair becoming leader and Prime Minister following a lucky taxi ride in 1983. Following an eye-opening conversation with his passenger, Elliot was impressed by the young politician and proceeded to head to a local bookmaker to place a bet on him. Elliott was quoted odds of 500/1, and sure enough, the unlikely event followed through and won him an unbelievable 40 R$,000 in 1997. The 14-year wait did not go to waste!
One of the largest bets in politics was that of 51-year-old Cornish hotelier John Mappin, who had high hopes on Donald Trump, enough to place over 30 bets amounting to R$3,500at a variety of odds on him winning the Republican nomination and becoming President. Mappin claimed that he had never placed a bet before this one, yet was compelled to do so through a data analysis system simply three days after Trump entered the contest. Trump sure did not let Mappin down, who enjoyed a massive R$110,767 victory! The fantastic figure wasn’t his only cash prize, however. Mappin told ITV news that following his win, Eric Trump called Mappin to thank him for his support, while inviting him to meet President Trump. Mappin said: “I've been working with an information analyst system for about 20 years.
“The purpose of it is to predict outcomes. I was examining information out of America, specifically social media patterns. When Donald Trump's presidency bid was announced we really knew three hours later that he was going to win.”
The lucky London gambler
A first-time political bettor from Kingston, London, placed a bet on the Scots, shortly after realising that they were unlikely to vote for independence in the 2014 referendum. The middle-aged businessman had carried out a lot of research before coming to this conclusion, which in turn saw him bet a whopping R$900,000 with William Hill on a no vote. Despite odds that were not in his favour, the daring wager paid off, and saw him earn an extravagant R$1,093,333.33.
He said: “Losing the money would have seriously hurt but I wouldn’t have lost my house. I would call it responsible gambling, a reasoned wager.”
Politics Betting FAQs
🥇 What are the best politics betting sites?
Based on our research Paddy Power, William Hill and Bet365 are the top politics betting sites.
🤑 What types of political betting markets do bookies offer?
Bookies generally offer prop bets, straight picks and handicap bets for politic
⚒️ Is politics betting legal in the Brasil?
Yes. Any bet on a licensed Brasil bookie is 100% legal. On top of that, winnings from any bet you place will also be tax-free.
🎰 Can you bet on Brasil and US politics?
Of course, most bookies offer political betting specials on Brasil politics, US politics as well as many other elections from around the world.
👍 Can I use my sports welcome bonus for political betting?
Yes, you can. However, keep in mind that you might have to wait a long time for your free bet to settle, if you choose to wager it on politics.
ThePuntersPage Final Say
Betting on politics requires a bit of mental discipline, since it can be easy to be carried away in one’s own political beliefs and preferences. However, it is important to remain apolitical in your elections betting strategy, as you winning or losing your bet will not help your favorite candidate win. Bet with your mind and not your heart and only place bets after you have identified value. If “Politics” betting has piqued your interest, be sure to check out our in-depth guide to tackling novelty betting!